When Tottenham Hotspur made their first travel to Real Madrid in the Champions League, a teenage Harry Kane was once providing few indicators of his long term possible.
On five April 2011, whilst Spurs have been being torn aside at the Bernabeu, the 18-year-old was once sat on the Leyton Orient bench, patiently looking ahead to his likelihood to return on in a League One recreation towards Plymouth.
When Tottenham made their subsequent travel in the identical festival, the maturing Kane was once being related with a £200m-plus transfer to the 12-time European champions.
On 17 October 2017, the 24-year-old arrived in the Spanish capital as Tottenham and England’s talisman – splashed throughout the entrance of Madrid’s sports activities papers, the opponent to worry.
“His rise has been one of the biggest shocks of my footballing career,” Jermaine Jenas, his former Spurs team-mate, mentioned.
As Real Madrid get ready to stand Spurs at Wembley on Wednesday, BBC Sport analyses whether or not Kane has the ability, psychological energy and marketability to turn into a Galactico.
Is he ‘a Real Madrid participant’?
During his first spell as Real president between 2000 and 2006, Florentino Perez’s pursuit of the global’s maximum proficient avid gamers and his extravagant spending to signal them coined a new time period: Galaticos.
Portugal attacker Luis Figo and France midfielder Zinedine Zidane have been the first of this new breed to reach at the Bernabeu for global report charges, with Brazil striker Ronaldo, England captain David Beckham and striker Michael Owen additionally making the transfer over the following couple of seasons.
Perez left in 2006 amid complaint the membership had turn into too interested by construction its emblem to the detriment of profitable trophies, however returned in 2009 to finish the signing of Cristiano Ronaldo after which upload Wales ahead Gareth Bale 4 years later.
Kane, 24, is the identical age as Ronaldo, Owen and Bale at the time in their respective transfers from the Premier League to Real Madrid, however does now not have the identical degree of revel in – at membership, European or world degree – as both of this trio.
Neither has he turn into a international famous person after illuminating a World Cup, European Championship or Champions League event.
Both Owen and Ronaldo had already received a Ballon d’Or – the prize awarded to the global’s perfect participant of the yr – and had received a number of home honours with their respective golf equipment.
|How Kane’s revel in compares to Ronaldo, Owen and Bale (at the level they joined Real Madrid)|
|Premier League video games||International caps||Club honours||Ballon d’Or wins|
“In Spain, we don’t consider him in the top 10 world-class players because he has only been playing a couple of years and is only playing at Tottenham, who are not in the Champions League semi-finals or final,” Juan Castro, a soccer journalist at Madrid-based sports activities newspaper Marca, mentioned.
“Maybe in the Premier League he is a gigantic participant however when you cross into a Spanish bar then now not we all know him. He isn’t a huge famous person.
“He has to turn out it in a Champions League or a World Cup, like Luis Suarez, to exhibit he’s a grasp.”
However, Kane’s goalscoring report in the Premier League compares favourably to Ronaldo, Owen and Bale – even though best Owen was once already regarded as a striker when he moved, with Ronaldo and Bale used extra out extensive.
While Kane has now not scored as many targets as Owen did, he has netted at a faster fee than the former Liverpool striker.
|How Kane’s scoring report compares to Ronaldo, Owen and Bale (at the level they joined Real Madrid)|
|Premier League targets||Minutes in step with league objective||International targets|
The soar to the Bernabeu
Playing for a huge membership is something. Playing for Real Madrid is any other.
The talent to deal with composure in the opposition penalty house is what separates the largest strikers from the relaxation. Even extra so when 80,000 Madridistas are dropping their cool round you.
Real Madrid legend Emilio Butragueno, who scored 171 targets in a 12-year spell at the Bernabeu, turned into referred to as El Buitre (The Vulture) as a result of his scientific completing.
What was once the key to the former Spain striker’s good fortune? “I left my thoughts clean for my frame to behave,” he as soon as mentioned.
Kane’s completing talent has resulted in him being described as a “killer” striker by means of Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino and previous Real president Ramon Calderon believes the England world has the composure to be successful at the Bernabeu.
“You want to be calm in the penalty house differently you’re going to be in bother. You want to be chilly to be a Real Madrid striker and I feel he’s. That’s one among his major qualities,” he mentioned.
“But it’s true that enjoying in the Bernabeu is tricky – infrequently even for avid gamers who’ve performed for large golf equipment in other nations.
“It is other for some avid gamers when the fanatics boo – that does not occur at Manchester United or Liverpool or different groups.
“But perhaps for this reason we have now constructed a legend and received such a lot of trophies as a result of the calls for from our fanatics – avid gamers know they’ve to accomplish.”
Is he price greater than £200m?
Brazil ahead Neymar turned into the first footballer to command a £200m switch price when he joined Paris St-Germain from Barcelona closing summer season and present Real president Perez believes Spurs would call for round £223m (€250m) for his or her prize asset.
“Kane is indubitably price round £200m since you would benchmark him towards different strikers of his calibre,” mentioned Kieran Maguire, a recreation finance knowledgeable at the University of Liverpool.
“It’s a bit like when you’re looking to figure out how a lot a home is price. You take a look at different homes down the boulevard and if they’re an identical and going for ‘X’ then yours is going for ‘X’.
“Kane is at a high age, there’s nonetheless room for development and Real may signal him on a 5 or six-year contract, spreading the value over that duration.
“For a membership in their monetary energy it could now not be a factor.”
Perez, having finished report offers for Figo, Zidane, Ronaldo and Bale over his two spells as president, hasn’t ever been scared to splash the money.
But for the 70-year-old development wealthy person, a shrewd businessman with a web price of $2.1bn, a big-money signing’s enjoying talent needs to be equalled by means of something: their business price.
Ronaldo, 32, is the global’s highest-paid athlete, in step with Forbes, raking in $35m of his $93m profits closing yr via endorsements.
Real Madrid, with the Portugal ahead as their poster boy, additionally introduced in $216m via sponsorship offers – a income best bettered by means of Barcelona.
“Ronaldo is in a commercial league of his own and there will be a vacuum at Real Madrid when he hangs up his boots, whenever that might be,” Maguire mentioned.
“Kane is relatively uninteresting – in a wonderful means, he simply will get on along with his video games, rankings targets and has a squeaky blank symbol – and isn’t glamorous in the identical means as Cristiano is. Very few avid gamers are.
“But if Kane rankings a lot of targets then that can draw in sponsors.
“In the major they’re making an attempt to draw the 15-34 male workforce who do not generally tend to observe a lot of tv however do have disposable source of revenue.
“They aren’t afflicted by means of the seems to be of the footballer, they wish to be related to a just right footballer and a just right man – Kane falls into that bracket.”
Is Kane higher than Benzema and would he enhance Real?
Since his step forward season in 2013-14, Kane has scored 86 Premier League targets. That tally places him 11th on the record of main scorers in Europe’s height 5 leagues, with best Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero improving his report in the English top-flight.
However, Kane’s strike-rate – calculated by means of his mins in step with objective ratio – strikes him as much as 8th on the record.
Karim Benzema is the guy reputedly maximum inclined will have to Kane transfer to the Bernabeu in the close to long term. And the 29-year-old Frenchman, regardless of being 7th on Madrid’s all-time scoring chart, isn’t a striker fancied by means of everyone.
Since returning from Lyon as a 21-year-old in June 2009, he has scored 182 targets in 375 video games – slightly below one each and every two video games – however former England captain and Barcelona striker Gary Lineker mentioned Benzema was once “overrated” and his report “nothing special”.
“Real Madrid trust Benzema and believe in him,” Marca journalist Castro mentioned. “That’s why they’ve given him a new three-year contract.
“At the second it’s a tough scenario for Real to signal any other striker but when Kane has a just right Champions League and World Cup – proving he can do it at the easiest degree – then it would alternate.”
Kane has scored extra targets than Benzema since making his step forward, however would the Englishman enhance Real’s fortunes if he changed the Frenchman?
Yes, in step with knowledge mavens Carteret Capital, who paintings with Premier League and European golf equipment and use algorithms to resolve the contribution avid gamers make to their crew profitable suits.
One side in their paintings is to analyse switch objectives, giving golf equipment an review of the have an effect on a new signing would make.
We requested them to create a file taking a look at what affect Kane would have if he changed Benzema at Real Madrid. Based on knowledge since the get started of the 2016-17 season, they discovered:
- Kane has a considerably larger have an effect on on Tottenham’s effects than Benzema does on Real’s effects
- If Kane had performed as a substitute of Benzema at Real Madrid this season, and had the identical have an effect on he has had at Spurs, then Kane would have stepped forward their total La Liga efficiency by means of 6.34%
- That would building up Real’s issues haul in their opening 10 video games from 20 issues – which leaves them 8 issues in the back of leaders Barcelona – to 26 issues.
‘Madrid’s denials over Kane hobby imply not anything’
At this level, Real Madrid are last coy about their hobby in Kane – president Perez claiming signing the Londoner has “never entered his head”.
However, the telltale indicators of a Perez-led pursuit of a participant are there to look: hypothesis about a long term transfer in the Madrid-based newspapers, a public denial from a president willing to not disappointed a rival chairman from whom he has already snared two stars and flattering reward of the rumoured goal from their trainer – Zidane lauding Kane as a “complete” participant.
“When you are in the middle of the season and already have important players for the team like Benzema, you cannot say you are interested in another player at another team because it can create a problem with your player and your team,” mentioned Calderon, who resigned as Real president in January 2009.
“It additionally places extra drive on the participant you are attempting to signal and the worth might be higher when you publicly admit your hobby.
“Saying you have an interest isn’t the wisest factor to do right through a season. But pronouncing you aren’t does now not imply the rest.”
With advanced big-money strikes taking months, years even, to push over the line, Calderon suggests casual talks between the two golf equipment would possibly already be happening.
Calderon was once at the center of one among Madrid’s longest-running – and in the end maximum a hit – switch interests after they focused Ronaldo from Manchester United.
The 66-year-old says he was once chatting with Red Devils counterpart David Gill about the switch for 2 years earlier than the Portugal ahead finished a global report £80m transfer in July 2009.
“I was talking to David for a long time and we knew the player wanted to come to Madrid,” he mentioned.
“When he mentioned ‘no, we aren’t promoting now’ I mentioned ‘OK’. Finally, in the case of Cristiano, we were given the settlement, he were given the settlement with Manchester United and it was once executed in the proper means.
“But there are at all times pleasant conversations between other folks operating golf equipment – about if a participant needs to return, if the membership is prepared to allow them to cross, the worth – this is commonplace dialog.”
Is Kane open to a Real transfer?
While Real Madrid seem to flirt with the concept of signing Kane, the participant has replied with some delicate encouragement to his possible suitor – at the identical time as being non-committal about leaving Spurs.
Last month, Kane mentioned he would “by no means rule out” playing abroad, but then added in another interview he would “love” to be a one-club guy.
Perhaps extra tellingly, Kane frolicked talking to each and every member of the Spanish media after Spurs’ fresh 1-1 draw at the Bernabeu. A attraction offensive?
The Londoner signed a reported £100,000-a-week contract closing yr to stay him tied to Spurs till 2022, however former England defender Danny Mills says Kane’s long term isn’t about cash.
“Harry has were given the place he’s these days as a result of he’s formidable and since he needs to enhance,” BBC Radio five reside analyst Mills mentioned.
“He goes to wish to win trophies and at the finish of his occupation he needs to mention ‘I received the Champions League and I received this quantity of titles’. That’s the pull. That’s why he’s going to depart.”
Another key issue is whether or not he would wish to uproot his circle of relatives – fiancee Kate and 10-month-old daughter Ivy – from their house in London if he have been to transport to a overseas membership.
Bringing up a kid in a nation the place you do not discuss the language, wouldn’t have a house and wouldn’t have your circle of relatives round you to offer a make stronger device is tricky. Ask Michael Owen.
The former England striker moved to Real Madrid from Liverpool in 2004, describing his off-field time in the Spanish capital as a “horror tale”.
“I envisaged in an instant having a pretty space, swimming pool, sitting out in the solar, and once I were given again from coaching I might be enjoying with the two-year-old in the lawn. We weren’t ready for a very long time in a resort,” Owen mentioned.
“Madrid did masses to lend a hand us however they put us in a resort for businessmen for 5 months; we had a pretty room, but it surely was once now not conducive to enjoying glad households.”
Calderon says the membership would supply “all the make stronger a participant wishes”, but Jenas believes adapting to Spanish culture could “rock Harry a little bit”.
“He moves me as a little bit of a house boy and being clear of the place he has been his complete lifestyles might be a surprise to him,” the former England world mentioned.
“I were given dragged out of Nottingham when I used to be 18 and were given despatched to Newcastle, which was once a tradition surprise for me at the time. There weren’t many black other folks in Newcastle at the time so even simply small such things as with the ability to get my hair minimize – there was once no Afro-Caribbean barber store in Newcastle so I had to return all the way down to Nottingham to get my hair minimize.
“It is little things like that, the comfort things that you go to, are gone, and you have to find a way to adjust.”